Basketball

Pete’s Big 12 Picks For Saturday 2/14 … Of Course, Against the Spread.

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6-1-1 so far on the season…!

#16 Baylor @ #8 Kansas

The Jayhawks can play with anyone in the country (except maybe Kentucky), but could also lose to potentially anyone in the country. It’s been a Jekyll and Hyde kind of season for Coach Bill Self. Baylor comes to town with their length and experienced backcourt play, which should give the Jayhawks some trouble. Also, without any strong interior presence, KU has been over reliant on the three ball this season. Baylor’s zone and length should be able to slow down Wayne Selden Jr., Frank Mason III, and Brannen Greene.

The Pick: Baylor +7

#21 West Virginia @ #14 Iowa State

The question as always is: will WVU’s press work against (fill in opponent)? I don’t believe it will to its usual effectiveness. Iowa State has one of the best point guards in the country in Monte Morris, who has 126 assists to only 27 turnovers. Add in Iowa State coming off at loss at Oklahoma, and back home where they have won 20 straight. Meanwhile, WVU, in football and basketball, continues to prove to be a different team in Morgantown versus on the road.

The Pick: Iowa State -6.5

#21 Oklahoma State @ TCU

Could it be a trap game for Oklahoma State? The Cowboys are one of the hottest team in the conference, with three straight wins over Texas, Kansas, and Baylor. Sure, on paper it’s a trap, but if you’ve watched these two teams lately, a TCU win seems highly unlikely. Of TCU’s first six conference losses, four were by double digits. Since then, they’ve lost four straight, all by at least 13 points. Plus, while he didn’t play much, TCU suspended guard Charles Hill Jr. this week, indefinitely. Is this is sign of friction and instability in the TCU locker room?

The Pick: Oklahoma State -3.5

Texas vs. Texas Tech

Statistically there is no reason to back Texas Tech here. The Red Raiders rank 9th in the conference in free throw percentage, three point percentage, and steals, while struggling even more on the road. Tech has lost every Big 12 road game by an average of 32 points per game. Texas has too much strength and depth inside, which will make scoring even tougher for Tech, who is the lowest scoring team in the conference. Granted, I don’t trust the Longhorns. But they need this win to get back to .500 in Big 12 play, and even they won’t screw this up.

The Pick: Texas -16

#17 Oklahoma @ Kansas State

No Big 12 team is on a roll quite like the Oklahoma Sooners. They’ve won five in a row, four of those games by double digits. Meantime, outside of Texas Tech, no one is struggling quite like K-State, who has dropped five in a row. But, the Wildcats are expected to bring back leading scorer Marcus Foster from a three game suspension. Also, despite K-State losing five straight to top-25 opponents, only one has been by more than six points.  As for the Sooners, they have struggled away from Norman, 4-4 on the road vs. 11-1 at home. The Wildcats will hang around, knowing at 5-7 in Big 12 play, they need this win for their resume, and to get back into the discussion for the Big Dance.

The Pick: K-State +4

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