It’s that time of year again as I begin rolling out my Big 12 football picks. We are brought to you by: BetNow.EU – use the promo code “heartland” for a 100% sign up bonus! That’s where I will be placing my Big 12 bets this fall! So here we go… minus a few games, as many of the Big 12 vs. FCS opponents are not showing up on the board (like usual). In Week 5, the picks went 3-2, but I’m still a really disappointing 12-18 on the season. So maybe you should just fade every single one of these picks. Yes, my picks have sucked thus far.
Oklahoma vs. Texas (or Texas vs. Oklahoma, your call)
It’s time for another Red River Rivalry. Sam Ehlinger and Tom Herman prepare for their second one of these together after nearly pulling off the upset last season. The offensive line for Texas is improving and they have the stud WR’s to give Parnell Motley some trouble at cornerback. Meantime, Todd Orlando has been able to slow down Lincoln Riley’s offense as well as anyone in the country between the 2016 upset against Houston and last season against Texas (Orlando was the DC for both teams). This will be, by far, Kyler Murray’s toughest test to date. Texas is 3-0 ATS in this game the last three years and 6-3-1 the past ten years. So give me the Longhorns to cover this one against the Sooners on Saturday.
The Pick: Texas +7
Baylor vs. Kansas State
Weird game. Baylor needs a bounce back from its demolition against OU. Meantime, K-State is desperately trying to turn its season around, while Bill Snyder keeps fighting with reporters over who to start at quarterback. In the end, I’m avoid the spread here, and instead I’m going to go with the “under”. K-State held Texas’ offense to only 10 points last week, while it’s own offense remains a major work in progress with lots of unknowns. I could see KSU having its way running the ball tomorrow against a mediocre front seven for the Bears. K-State will try to slow the game down if it can. Also, the weather calls for a 30-40% chance of rain. So i’ll take the under, which has hit four of the last five times these two teams have played and in three of KSU’s five games this season.
The Pick: UNDER 55.5
West Virginia vs. Kansas
I’ve been going back and forth on this game more than any other this week. But the reality is Kansas has been a much better team at home than on the road. They were playing a slightly banged up OSU team at home and could not get the cover. Now they go on the road for a sixth game in as many weeks against a West Virginia team that is still more rested than most teams since they had their NC State game cancelled last week. Dana Holgorsen was disappointed with how his team allowed Texas Tech back into last week’s game and they will be eager to put together a full four quarters. Also, KU is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games, while WVU has been a cover machine so far this season at 4-0. The spread has moved in KU’s favor, surprisingly, but I’m jumping on the Mountaineers high-powered offense having a day against KU.
The Pick: West Virginia -27.5
Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State
The Cyclones are still getting no respect. Sure they’ve struggled, but the defense is darn good and I still have questions about OK State’s offense. It’s as much of a must-win as the Cyclones can have this early in the season. But they’re sitting at 1-3 and need to start turning this season around or it will spiral quickly. Iowa State also gets an Oklahoma State team that is a bit banged up. DT Darrion Daniels is done for the season, while A.J. Green, Calvin Bundage, and Dillon Stoner are all questionable dealing with injuries. Iowa State is flying under the radar to most people, but this team has played a very difficult schedule so far with Iowa, Oklahoma and TCU. I’ll take ISU as a double-digit dog.
The Pick: Iowa State +10
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