The Big 12 football season is here, which means it’s time for our BIG 12 football picks against the spread. Our picks went 2-3 against the spread last week and are 16-8 for the season! So let’s go!
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West Virginia vs. Kansas State
Kansas State is made to win a tough road game. Of K-State’s 20 red zone chances this year, 15 have resulted in touchdowns and the other five were made field goals. They are first in red zone offense, second in red zone defense, lead in turnover margin and have the best special teams in the Big 12. They have 14 sacks in five games and lead the Big 12 in takeaways and turnover margin. The Wildcats are as efficient as any team in the Big 12 right now and if I am getting more than a field goal in a game that is likely to be a low-scoring affair, I am going to roll with the Wildcats.
The Pick: K-State +4.5
Kansas vs. Iowa State
The Iowa State Cyclones seem to play down or up to their competition sometimes. I have bet against KU in every game this year and made a lot of money doing it. But the spread is now over 4 touchdowns. Matt Campbell’s teams don’t typically blow teams out. Iowa State is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven Big 12 games. Iowa State is coming off a hangover and has to go on the road for a second straight week. Iowa State will win, but I see value in the KU cover!
The Pick: Kansas +28.5
Baylor vs. TCU
TCU has been weak against the run game, giving up over 5 yards per carry. But the good news for the Horned Frogs is that Baylor comes in averaging just 3.0 yards per carry, the worst in the Big 12. TCU is 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 games against Baylor. TCU is 6-1 in their last seven games playing on the road against Baylor. Gary P gets his guys up for the Bears and with how up-and-down, stop-and-go the season has been for BU, TCU is due and will cover this game.
The Pick: TCU -2.5
Oklahoma State vs. Texas
Texas is arguably in flames right now. Yes, they got a win last week, but that doesn’t change much moving forward. Tom Herman is 1-4 against Mike Gundy against the spread and 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games in October. Meantime, Oklahoma State is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games. Still no respect for the Pokes. Spencer Sanders is back and healthy and is only going to start clicking even more moving forward. Plus, Sam Ehlinger’s passing game has been limited this year and now he goes up against an excellent secondary, and defense in general. OSU puts it on the Horns.
The Pick: Oklahoma State -3 (buy the .5 point if you’re at 3.5)
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma
The Sooners are a young team, but they’re super talented and are getting better every week, as we saw last week against TCU. However, Texas Tech is also an improving team as we saw last week with Henry Colombi at quarterback, who gives them an option running the ball at the position in a way Alan Bowman did not. Tech is 5-1 against the spread vs. OU at home. The Red Raiders get up for the Sooners at home. I believe the Sooners will win, but if I’m getting over two touchdowns at home, I have to go with the Red Raiders.
The Pick: Texas Tech +15
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