Big 12 Previews

Oklahoma State vs. TCU: Preview and Prediction

NCAA Football: Oklahoma State at Texas Christian

Here is everything you need to know about the upcoming Big 12 match up in our Oklahoma State vs. TCU preview and prediction.

Game Info

7:00 p.m. CST, Saturday, November 13th, 2021; Boone Pickens Stadium; Stillwater, Oklahoma

TV: FOX (Tim Brando, Spencer Sanders)

Radio: Cowboy Radio Network (Dave Hunziker); WBAP 820 AM (Brian Estridge); Sirius 134, XM 199; XM 381, Sirius App 971

Spread: Oklahoma State -12

Fun Fact: The first coaching job for TCU interim head coach Jerry Kill was at Midwest City, Oklahoma High School in 1984. The team’s quarterback was Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy.

 

Key Players

TCU Horned Frogs

QB Chandler Morris

Well, what does Chandler Morris have for an encore? In his first collegiate start last week, he totaled 531 yards of offense (461 passing, 70 rushing) in TCU’s 30-28 win over No. 12 Baylor. The 531 yards rank second in TCU history. The 461 yards passing were fourth most by a Horned Frog and third all-time in the Big 12 for a first career start. The reigning Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week now hits the road for his first time as a starter against one of the best defenses in the country.

DL Ochuan Mathis

Ochaun Mathis has a team-best 4.0 sacks with the latest coming at Kansas State. Mathis is one of the leaders on a defense that has seen eight players making their first career start this season. It has not been a strong season defensively for the Horned Frogs, which made it an anomaly under Gary Patterson before he parted ways with the program last week. If TCU wants to pull off another upset, it will have to be because a player like Mathis has his best game of the season.

 

Oklahoma State Cowboys

RB Jaylen Warren

The talented transfer from Utah State who has made his first seven starts at OSU in the past seven games, rushing for 218, 123, 125, 193, 76, 69 and 78 yards, averaging out to 126.0 rushing yards game. But as you can see, the numbers have dipped off a bit, but he has also gotten fewer carries. In those first four games listed he had at least 27 carries in each game, but in the last three he has had between nine and 18 carries. However, if the Pokes need to ride him on Saturday, they should.

LB Malcolm Rodriguez

The Butkus Award semifinalist is living up to the hype this season ranking No. 12 in the FBS this season with 9.7 tackles per game. He leads the Big 12 with 87 total tackles and is also in the Top 15 in the league with 8.5 tackles for loss. He has started the most games (43) of anyone on this loaded and veteran-laden Oklahoma State defense. Rodriguez also ranks No. 4 among all active FBS players with 226 career solo tackles and No. 5 with 366 career tackles.

 

Key Storylines

TCU Horned Frogs

The Horned Frogs need to give Chandler Morris time to build on his first-ever start last week, which was a shocking upset of Baylor at home. But now he goes on the road, at night, to take on one of the best defenses in America. The TCU offensive line needs to play their game of the season, collectively. TCU offensive linemen (right tackle Andrew Coker, left tackle Obinna Eze) have started all nine games this season, and that cohesion across the unit will be key on Saturday. The Pokes are first in the Big 12 with 30 sacks, seven more than Kansas State, which ranks second in the league.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

The Pokes need to make sure they aren’t caught looking ahead beyond these two winnable games against TCU and then Texas Tech. One key has to be the continued improvement and building the confidence of Spencer Sanders at quarterback. Ideally for OSU, they build a lead, let Sanders start airing it out, and keep building the passing game to balance Warren and the running game. That is how this Cowboys team will become more complete to beat Oklahoma come Thanksgiving Weekend.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 31, TCU 17

The Cowboys won’t be caught asleep at the wheel for a prime time match up on FOX, especially when it sure feels like this Oklahoma State team is being shortchanged by the College Football Playoff committee, which could provide some extra motivation. TCU had a lot of emotion last week coming off the Gary Patterson announcement and playing a rival, but they’ll come back to earth this week.

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