Baylor Bears

Baylor vs. Texas Basketball: Preview and Prediction

NCAA Basketball: Texas at Baylor

Here is everything you need to know about the Baylor Bears and the Texas Longhorns in our Baylor vs. Texas Big 12 men’s basketball preview.

8 p.m. Central Time, Monday, Feb. 28, 2022, Frank Erwin Center, Austin, Texas.

TV: ESPN

Records: Baylor: 24-5 (12-4 in Big 12); Texas: 21-8 (10-6 in Big 12).

Ranking: Baylor: No. 10 (Associated Press); Texas: No. 20 (Associated Press). (Note: Rankings as of Feb. 21).

Last game: Baylor: def. Kansas, 80-70 (Feb. 26); Texas: def. West Virginia, 82-81 (Feb. 26).

Previous meeting: Baylor 80, Texas 63 (Feb. 12).

 

Player to Watch

Baylor

C Flo Thamba: Man, if Baylor could get this out of Thamba every night … Saturday was his best game since Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua went down with a season-ending injury, as Thamba scored 19 points and grabbed nine rebounds in the victory over Kansas. He did this on a night in which David McCormack played 31 minutes and had a double-double. Baylor is used to getting that kind of rebounding output from Thamba. But if he could be a more consistent scorer, that would be a significant add for Baylor down the stretch.

Texas

F Timmy Allen: How Allen played against West Virginia on Saturday is exactly what Texas needs down the stretch. It wasn’t just the double-double — 26 points and 10 rebounds. It was how he did it. He was highly efficient from the field (7-of-9) and from the free-throw line (12-of-16). His game is built for the mid-range and for driving to draw fouls. He doesn’t need to drift to the 3-point line, unless it’s to pull his defender away from the point for a teammate’s drive. This is the time for Allen to play like this all the time.

Key storylines

Baylor

The Bears’ chances of sharing or winning the Big 12 regular-season crown aren’t dead just yet. The Bears had to win over Kansas and its head coach, Bill Self, to stay alive, and they did. It was their third straight win. With a little help from TCU, the Bears are now in second by themselves. The Bears still have to win their final two games, and Kansas has to lose one its remaining three. But, as the kids like to say, “So you’re telling me there’s a chance?” Yes, there’s a chance. But no more stumbles.

 

Texas

The Longhorns look pretty firm as the No. 4 seed in the Big 12 Tournament, though the Longhorns could fully secure that with a win over Baylor. Texas is two games ahead of TCU, but the Horned Frogs have to play Kansas twice and West Virginia to end the season. It seems likely that Texas will hang onto that seed. And don’t get to thinking that Texas can get that No. 3 seed if Texas Tech loses a game. Or, did you forget who swept that season series?

Fun fact

This will be the Longhorns’ last home game at the Frank Erwin Center (or, as the locals call it, the Drum). Next season, Texas moves into the new Moody Center.

Prediction

Baylor 77, Texas 73. The Bears spoil the home finale with a tremendous offensive performance from … Adam Flagler.

You can find Matthew Postins on Twitter @PostinsPostcard.

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