Texas Football 2022: Best-Case vs. Worst-Case Scenario

The Texas Longhorns are coming off a 2021 season that culminated in a 5-7 record that included a gut-wrenching loss to Kansas and a six-game losing streak, something that hadn’t happened in Austin since 1956.

Now, Steve Sarkisian and Texas are hoping that Year 2 is far different, and with the talent that the Longhorns possess, there shouldn’t be any reason that it isn’t. Bijan Robinson returns in the backfield to flank Quinn Ewers, with All-American wideout Xavier Worthy entering his second year. Texas did lose two potential starters on the offensive side of the ball in a recent scrimmage, which will certainly lower their ceiling in 2022.

Can the Longhorns turn things around and get back to their winning ways, or will it be a repeat of last season? Here is the best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenario for Texas in 2022.


Best-Case Scenario

Sarkisian’s offense soars in Year 2 as it quickly becomes apparent that Quinn Ewers is exactly who Longhorn Nation hoped that he was. Behind a young, but talented, offensive line Texas’s offense soars to heights it hasn’t seen since Colt McCoy was under center. Defensively, the addition of Gary Patterson seems to have plugged a lot of holes in last year’s unit, and while not an elite unit, the defense is far less porous than a season ago. Texas gets to double digit wins in the regular season for the first time since 2009 and finds itself in the Big 12 Championship with a chance at a New Year’s Six Bowl berth.

Record: 10-2

Worst-Case Scenario

Quinn Ewers fails to live up the hype in Year 1 as a quarterback competition extends well into the season. The offensive line is a mess given the amount of true freshman in the rotation and they struggle to protect either quarterback against a competent pass rush. Bijan Robinson and Xavier Worthy are bright spots on offense, but they can’t score enough to offset the points that a still-porous defense gives up. The Longhorns remain one of worst rush defenses in the country get exposed badly in Week 2 against Alabama. Texas improves on last year by one game and gets to a bowl, but that won’t get it done in Austin.

Record: 6-6


Most-Likely Scenario

While it takes a few weeks, the Texas offense gets rolling about midway through the season and Quinn Ewers starts to show flashes of being something special. The offensive line struggles against better defensive fronts and limits what the Longhorns can do, but they do find a way to improve as the year goes on. Defensively, UT still lacks a consistent pass rush and while they do improve against the run, its not to the level in needs to be for them to be a true Big 12 Championship contender. With wins in three of their last four games, Sarkisian’s squad show signs of improvement and the Longhorns are rewarded with a much-needed bowl game.

Record: 8-4

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