HCS Roundtable: Big 12 Week 3 Locks of the Week
After a crazy Week 2 across the country that saw several upsets like Appalachian State taking down Texas A&M or Nebraska falling to Georgia Southern, we are headed towards a Week 3 that looks about as innocent a weekend of college football can.
However, we all know that that is typically when things hit the proverbial fan. If you plan on betting some games this weekend, the Heartland College Sports staff is here to guide you in the right direction, although we went went 1-3 last weekend.
Let’s try to turn things around here in Week 3 with he Heartland College Sports staff Big 12 Locks of the Week.
Game: Texas (-12.5) vs. UTSA
Sure, some might think Texas will have a hangover game after nearly beating No. 1 Alabama last week. I don’t see it happening. The team and coaching staff appears to remain upbeat, focused and motivated before playing a formidable UTSA team this Saturday night at home. There are clear concerns on if Hudson Card will start at QB this week, which understand makes bettors nervous, but we know the talent is there for Texas and the fact that I can get UT at less than two touchdowns right now feels like a steal. UTSA comes in worn down after back-to-back hard-fought games against Houston and Army that both went to overtime. The latter being on the road in New York, which included a long road trip back. Texas has been home all month, is rested, and won’t be caught looking ahead. The defense is getting better each week and the offense will wear down UTSA to cover this spread.
Lock: Texas (-12.5)
Game: Oklahoma (-11) at Nebraska
Oklahoma heads up to Lincoln, Nebraska for the first time since 2009 to take on the Cornhuskers in Memorial Stadium and I expect this game to turn into a slugfest, at least for a half. Nebraska has one of the nation’s worst defense through three games, while the Sooners have been vastly improved on that side of the ball. The O/U in this game is too high in my opinion at 66 points, and I think Oklahoma wins this game comfortably. However, I don’t expect it to be a shoot as I believe the score will be somewhere around 38-20 or 35-17.
Last year, Oklahoma went into this game as a 22.5-point favorite and the O/U was 62.5. That game ended 23-16, with the Sooners winning. Take the under with confidence.
Lock: UNDER (66)
Game: Baylor (-31) vs. Texas State
Both Kansas State and Iowa State have better spreads. But I think Kansas State is looking ahead and I think Iowa State could have a let-down game after beating in-state rival Iowa. I’m not confident in the other spreads. So I’ll take Baylor to score a whole mess of points to beat the Bobcats, even though I’m not that confident in it. But if anyone is going to blow up this week, it’s the Bears.