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HCS Roundtable: Big 12 Week 6 Locks of the Week

NCAA Football: Oklahoma State at Texas Tech

The Big 12 has been among the most unpredictable conferences in America this season, and that has really shown up on the betting boards to this point in the season.

As Pete Mundo pointed out last week, underdogs in Big 12 play to this point in the season are 7-2 straight up. For example, last week we saw Oklahoma State, TCU, and Kansas win outright as underdogs. The Kansas Jayhawks are a perfect 5-0 against the spread this season and have been the only “sure thing”
to this point, which should tell you how insane things have been in 2022.

The Heartland College Sports staff has weathered the storm though, as their combined record of 11-7 through five weeks is about as good as could be expected. Last week was rough, however, as they went 0-4 combined for Week 5 action.

 

Let’s see if they can get back on track this week with their Big 12 Locks for Week 6.

Pete Mundo (Record: 4-1)

Game: Texas Tech at No. 7 Oklahoma State (-9.5)

The worst match up in the Big 12 this weekend is the Oklahoma State defensive front against the Texas Tech offensive line. The Red Raiders are struggling mightily in this department and it was on display last week against K-State. Now they go on the road for a second straight week against an OSU team that is, once again, in the Top 10 and isn’t getting the respect it deserves. The OSU offense should have a field day, while the defense will make life tough for a Texas Tech team that has given up 18 sacks in five games, six more than any other team in the Big 12 this season.

Lock: Oklahoma State (-9)

Bryan Clinton (Record: 4-1)

Game: Texas (-7) vs. Oklahoma

The Red River Rivalry is among the most unpredictable and entertaining games of the season each and every year, and I would not be surprised if that were still the case on Saturday. However, I cannot unsee what happened in Fort Worth last weekend when the Sooners were steamrolled by the Horned Frogs. Texas has dropped four of these contests in a row, and all of them in dramatic fashion. This time around, I don’t expect there to be much drama as the Longhorns have a chance to run Oklahoma out of the Cotton Bowl. The Sooners might be without starting quarterback Dillon Gabriel and a host of other key players this week, meaning that things could get ugly in Dallas relatively quickly.

 

Lock: Texas (-7)

Derek Duke (Record: 1-2)

Game: Texas Tech at No. 7 Oklahoma State (-9.5)

I have seen this game being called the Red Dirt Rivalry which is perfect. But what is not perfect is the offense for Texas Tech. They struggle on the offensive line, and I expect the ferocious defensive line for Oklahoma State to be all over the Red Raider offense. Plus, Donovan Smith is prone to throwing a few interceptions. With this game being in Stillwater, it only helps my case here. The key to this game will be the offense of Oklahoma State. If Spencer Sanders takes care of the football as he has been then I don’t see the Cowboys having any issues this weekend winning by double digits.

Lock: Oklahoma State (-9)

Matthew Postins (Record: 2-3)

Game: No. 20 Kansas State (-2) at Iowa State

My weekly disclaimer — I am not the guy you want to take betting advice from. You’re going to get far better advice from our site owner, Pete Mundo (who, as it turns out, is pretty good at this). That said, I think Kansas State has the ability to cover as a two-point favorite against the Cyclones, even if it’s on the road. Kansas State might have the most dynamic duo in the conference in quarterback Adrian Martinez and running back Deuce Vaughn. Iowa State has a quality defense and it held Kansas to 14 points last week (suddenly, that’s a big deal). But if I think Kansas State is going to win Farmageddon, then it’s logical to assume that the Wildcats will win by a field goal, which would allow them to cover. This begs the question — is logic a thing when it comes to gambling?

Lock: Kansas State (-2)

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