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Big 12 Bets: An Underdog, Lock, and Bad Bet for Week 7

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One of the beautiful things about college football is the parity and chaos that we see each and every week. There are, after all, 22 moving parts on the field every time that the ball is snapped, and just one player out of place can change the course of a game, hell even a season, in just one play.

While watching football and understanding the nuances of what is going on takes a bit of experience, the real talent is in being able to put your money where your mouth is when it comes to betting on the world’s greatest sport.

Here are some betting trends you should pay attention to in Week 7 of Big 12 action, with an upset, a lock, and a bad bet to avoid on Saturday.

 

UNDERDOG TO WATCH: No. 8 Oklahoma State (+4) at No. 13 TCU

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are coming off a hard-fought win over a Texas Tech team that gave them all they could handle in Stillwater behind a stellar performance from redshirt freshman quarterback Behren Morton. This week, the Cowboys get a much more experienced quarterback in Max Duggan and this game is in Fort Worth. Despite being the higher-ranked team in this matchup, Oklahoma State is a four-point dog in this game. With money on the line, I would take TCU to win the game but Oklahoma State to cover. I also think that OSU is capable of winning this game outright and running away with it, which is why they’re my underdog of the week.

Underdogs for 2022: 2-3 SU; 3-2 ATS

LOCK OF THE WEEK: No. 19 Kansas (+9) at Oklahoma

This line simply doesn’t make sense if you’ve watched anything over the last few weeks of both Oklahoma and Kansas. While the Jayhawks will likely be without their star quarterback Jalon Daniels, their backup Jason Bean has started 16 games in his career and has shown the ability to make plays with his arm and his feet. While Oklahoma will likely have Dillon Gabriel in this game, he doesn’t play defense and that is where the Sooners’ struggles start. I’m taking Kansas (+9) in this game, and while I do think that Oklahoma should win the game, it won’t be anywhere near double digits.

Locks for 2022: 3-2

 

BAD BET OF THE WEEK: No. 22 Texas (-16.5) vs. Iowa State

What Texas did last week in the Cotton Bowl to Oklahoma was not safe for work, and they were impressive from start to finish. Now, can they come off of the emotional high of beating down the Sooners and take care of business against Iowa State? I am not picking Iowa State to win this game, especially with Quinn Ewers playing the way that he has this season. However, 16.5 points is just too much. I can see the Longhorns winning by two scores, but three is pushing the line. Take Iowa State and the points here.

Bad Bets for 2022: 4-1

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