Big 12 Previews

Oklahoma State vs. TCU: Preview and Prediction

NCAA Football: Oklahoma State at Texas Christian

Here is everything you need to know about the upcoming matchup between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the TCU Horned Frogs.

GAME INFO

Saturday, October 15, 2022; 2:30 p.m. CT; Amon G. Carter Stadium; Fort Worth, Texas

TV: ABC (Sean McDonough, Todd Blackledge, Molly McGrath)

Radio: Cowboy Radio Network (Dave Hunziker, John Holcomb, Robert Allen); Horned Frog Sports Network (Brian Estridge, John Denton, Landry Burdine)

Records: Oklahoma State (5-0, 2-0 Big 12); TCU (5-0, 2-0 Big 12)

Rankings: Oklahoma State ranked No. 8 (AP Top 25); TCU ranked No. 13

Last Week: Oklahoma State 41, Texas Tech 31; TCU 38, Kansas 31

Series History: Oklahoma State leads 17-13-2

Last Meeting: Oklahoma State 63, TCU 17 (2021)

Favorite: TCU (-3.5)

Fun Fact: Saturday’s matchup will pit two of the nation’s top-five scoring offenses against one another as TCU ranks third with 46.4 points per game and Oklahoma State ranks fourth with 45.2.

 

KEY PLAYERS

Oklahoma State Cowboys

QB Spencer Sanders

Right now, Sanders is No. 4 in FBS in points responsible for per game and No. 10 in total offense per game. That appears to be carryover from his Fiesta Bowl performance. In his last six games, Sanders had 2,131 yards of total offense and 22 touchdowns. He isn’t just playing the position as efficiently as anyone in the Big 12. He’s playing it as efficiently as anyone in the country. He needs three wins to tie Mason Rudolph (32) for most wins in OSU history.

DE Tyler Lacy

Lacy is one of those players that probably doesn’t get enough attention. But, he’ll make his 37th consecutive start (and 40th career start) when the Cowboys play the Horned Frogs on Saturday. This year he is fifth in the Big 12 with 1.3 tackles for loss per game. Everyone in the league knew he was good entering 2022. He was OSU’s highest-rated returning defensive lineman per Pro Football Focus. But he’s playing more like a first- or second-team All-Big 12 pick, and not the honorable mention selection he’s been in two previous seasons.

TCU Horned Frogs

WR Quentin Johnston

Yes, you have to have the quarterback to get you the ball. But Johnson’s day against Kansas was incredible. His 14 receptions tied Northwestern’s Evan Hull for most by an FBS receiver this season. His 206 yards were the most for a Big 12 receiver this season. The receptions were a career high and the most by a TCU receiver since Josh Doctson had 18 catches against Texas Tech in 2015. Oh, and Johnston caught the winning touchdown pass.

S Mark Perry

Perry was an experienced transfer when he arrived at TCU. He played three previous seasons at Colorado, and 2021 was his best season. He had 72 tackles and a team-high three interceptions. He also had four pass break-ups. This season after five games he is TCU’s leading tackler with 28 for the season, along with 2.5 tackles for loss. He doesn’t have an interception yet, but he can strike with a moment’s notice.

 

KEY STORYLINES

Oklahoma State Cowboys

You’ll be hard-pressed to find a better offensive team in the country right now than Oklahoma State, which is fourth in FBS in scoring offense at 45.2 per game. While the rushing offense is ranked in the middle of the pack, quarterback Spencer Sanders has the passing game at No. 17 in the country, putting the offense at No. 21 overall in total offense. The defense? Well, the unit is ranked No. 104 in total defense. The issue right now is the pass defense, where the Cowboys are No. 104 in the country. But the unit is only giving up 24.8 points per game. The team remains well-positioned to get to the Big 12 Championship game for the second straight year.

TCU Horned Frogs

Sonny Dykes’ hiring as head coach has had the desired effect on the Horned Frogs offense, specifically quarterback Max Duggan. TCU is in the Top 25 in every major offensive category, including third in FBS with 530 yards per game. Yes, the Horned Frogs are throwing it around, but the run game is actually ranked higher nationally (No. 13) than the pass (No. 21). They’re as balanced as an Air Raid offense can be. Defense? Well, the Horned Frogs are doing enough to win. But if there’s a real trouble area its passing yards allowed, where they rank No. 110 in the nation, giving up 168.8 yards per game.

 

PREDICTION: Oklahoma State 45, TCU 42

The Cowboys have been challenged this season. But they’ve won every game by double-digits. The Horned Frogs will challenge the Cowboys to the point where the game comes down to the final moments. Get ready for an OSU field goal to win it.

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