Big 12 Previews

Texas vs. Oklahoma State: Preview and Prediction

NCAA Football: Oklahoma State at Texas

Here is everything you need to know about the upcoming matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

GAME INFO

Saturday, October 22, 2022; 2:30 p.m. CT; Boone Pickens Stadium; Stillwater, Oklahoma

TV: ABC (Dave Pasch, Dusty Dvoracek, Tom Luginbill)

Radio: Longhorn Radio Network (Craig Way, Roger Wallace, Will Matthews); Cowboy Radio Network (Dave Hunziker, John Holcomb, Robert Allen)

Records: Texas (5-2, 3-1 Big 12); Oklahoma State (5-1, 2-1 Big 12)

Rankings: Texas ranked No. 20 (AP Top 25); Oklahoma State ranked No. 11

Last Week: Texas 24, Iowa State 21; TCU 43, Oklahoma State 40 F/2OT

Series History: Texas leads 26-10

Last Meeting: Oklahoma State 32, Texas 24 (2021)

Favorite: Texas (-6)

Fun Fact: After Texas won 12-straight meetings in this matchup from 1998-2009, the Cowboys have gone on a run, winning eight of the last 12 contests between the schools since 2010.

 

KEY PLAYERS

Texas Longhorns

QB Quinn Ewers

Texas is just a different team when Quinn Ewers is at quarterback, and it’s really pretty simple why that is the case: Ewers has the arm talent to make any throw on the field. His presence alone stretches the field vertically, and with weapons like Xavier Worthy, Bijan Robinson, Ja’Tavion Sanders, and Roschon Johnson, the Texas offense is formidable. In four stars, Ewers is completing 67.7% of his passes for 820 yards and nine touchdowns.

LB Jaylan Ford

Texas’ leading tackler for 2022 has recorded 66 total stops, 37 of which have been solo stops. That is good for 13th nationally, but Ford has made an impact in other ways as well. Last week, Ford jumped into a passing lane and picked off Hunter Dekkers in the end zone during the second quarter to preserve an early lead fo Texas. He also has one forced fumble and recovery on the year and has one PBU. The junior linebacker is making a difference any way that he can for Texas and that will need to continue on Saturday.

 

Oklahoma State Cowboys

QB Spencer Sanders

Oklahoma State quarterback Spencer Sanders is currently the focus of speculation as the senior quarterback seems to be dealing with a shoulder injury that was nagging him last week prior to Saturday’s game against TCU. It is imperative that he is as close to 100% as possible when Texas comes to town because the Longhorns can score points in bunches. Last week, Sanders completed 16 of 36 passes for 245 yards with one touchdown and one interception. He added 68 rushing yards and two scores on the ground, but he will need to be more efficient through the air against UT.

DE Brock Martin

Oklahoma State senior defensive end Brock Martin leads the Cowboys in sacks in 2022 with four on the year, but he has also made an impact in other areas. Martin is ninth on the team in tackles (20), has recorded a PBU and a forced fumble, and is one of the emotional leaders of the team. Martin will match up with Texas’ inexperienced tackles well, and while they are young, they are also extremely talented. Martin will need to make his presence known early and often to keep Ewers and the Texas offense off-schedule.

 

KEY STORYLINES

Texas Longhorns

Is the Texas defense for real? Currently, the Longhorns rank 21st nationally in scoring defense (18.3 ppg) and 37th nationally in total defense (347 ypg). This weekend’s game against Oklahoma State will provide a big test for Steve Sarkisian’s squad, as the Oklahoma State offense ranks fifth nationally with 44.3 points per game. If Texas can limit the Cowboys’ success offensively and force Spencer Sanders to make mistakes, UT could climb its way up another wrung on the Big 12 ladder in 2022.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

What is Spencer Sanders’ status and is he close to 100% for this game? If Sanders is a shell of himself or simply can’t go in this game, it would leave freshman quarterback Gunnar Gundy to take the reins for the Oklahoma State offense. While Gundy is talented, he hasn’t played a meaningful snap of football in college just yet, and going in against Texas would be a rough start. I do expect Sanders to tough it out and start in this game, but if his shoulder continues to hinder him, it could spell bad news for Oklahoma State.

PREDICTION: Texas 34, Oklahoma State 28

This game feels like a spot for Texas to take off and mark themselves as one of the favorites in the Big 12, and I think they’ll do just that. Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled mightily against the pass this season, ranking 126th nationally by allowing 301 passing yards per game. Quinn Ewers and company could light it up in Stillwater, but Oklahoma State is too good to let that separate them from having a chance at winning this game. Texas’ run defense is the difference here, as the Cowboys rushing offense has struggled thus far. Texas gets a six-point lead late in the game and doesn’t squander it, sending them to 6-2 and 4-1 in Big 12 play.

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