Big 12 Previews

Iowa State vs. TCU: Preview and Prediction

NCAA Football: Kansas at Texas Christian

Here is everything you need to know about the upcoming matchup between the Iowa State Cyclones and the TCU Horned Frogs.

GAME INFO

Saturday, November 26, 2022; 3:00 p.m. CT; Amon G. Carter Stadium; Fort Worth, Texas

TV: FOX (Jason Benetti, Brock Huard, Allison Williams)

Radio: Texas Tech Sports Network (Brian Jensen, John Harris, Chris Level); Texas Tech Sports Network (Brian Jensen, John Harris, Chris Level)

Records: Iowa State (4-7, 1-7); TCU (11-0, 8-0)

Rankings: Iowa State unranked; TCU ranked No. 4 (CFP Top 25)

Last Week: Texas Tech 14, Iowa State 10; TCU 29, Baylor 28

Series History: TCU leads 8-5

Last Meeting: Iowa State 48, TCU 14 (2021)

Favorite: TCU (-10)

Fun Fact: With a win, TCU will become the first Big 12 team since Texas in 2009 to make it through the regular season with a perfect 12-0 record. The last team to go undefeated in conference play was Oklahoma in 2016.

 

KEY PLAYERS

IOWA STATE CYCLONES

WR Xavier Hutchinson

Iowa State wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson is one of the top wide receivers in college football and was recognized as such when he was named a Biletnikoff Award semifinalist earlier this week. Hutchinson has 105 receptions for 1,160 yards and six scores in 2022 and has recorded 100 yards in seven of 11 games. TCU’s No. 1 priority will be to make sure that No. 8 doesn’t win this game single-handedly because he is certainly capable of it.

DE Will McDonald IV

Although last week didn’t go the way that Iowa State had hoped, one good thing did come from the 14-10 defeat to Texas Tech. After recording one sack in the game, Iowa State defensive end Will McDonald IV became the sole owner of the Big 12 career sack record with 34. In what will likely be his final game in a Cyclones’ uniform, expect McDonald to make some noise in the TCU backfield at some point.

TCU HORNED FROGS

QB Max Duggan

TCU’s meteoric rise in 2022 has a lot to do with the performance of quarterback Max Duggan. Duggan has been wildly efficient this season and has a QB rating of 170.1 and a QBR of 78.6 (13th nationally). In 11 games, he has completed 204 of 308 passed for 2,858 yards and 26 touchdowns with just three interceptions. Duggan will face the best defense that he has seen all season on Saturday, so he will need to be on top of his game.

DB Tre’Vius Hodges-Tomlinson

The main offensive weapon for Iowa State has been Xavier Hutchinson, so there’s a really good chance that Tre’Vius Hodges-Tomlinson and the Biletnikoff Award semifinalist see a lot of each other on Saturday. Hodges-Tomlinson has been a great part of TCU’s secondary again in 2022, recording eight PBUs and three interceptions on the year, adding one forced fumble and 37 tackles to his resume. With a perfect season and College Football Playoff appearance on the line, Hodges-Tomlinson will attempt to blanket Iowa State’s top playmaker for 60 mintues.

 

KEY STORYLINES

IOWA STATE CYCLONES

Will Iowa State get up for this game? The Cyclones have little to play for having already been eliminated from bowl eligibility for the first time since Matt Campbell’s first season in Ames. Pride is the only thing on the line for the Cyclones, that and ruining TCU’s perfect season. If they lay an egg against this team, things could get ugly, and quickly.

TCU HORNED FROGS

Can TCU stay focused for one more week to make it 12-0? On paper, there should be no reason for the Horned Frogs to be nervous about this game, but that’s the problem with the Big 12 in 2022. Literally any team in this conference can beat anyone on any given Saturday. Sonny Dykes and the Horned Frogs are just hoping that Saturday isn’t one of those days. Win and get into the Big 12 Championship game. Win there, and its Playoff time in Fort Worth.

 

PREDICTION: TCU 31, IOWA STATE 14

I question Iowa State’s motivation in this game a bit, and I’m thinking that TCU is going to be laser-focused considering what is on the line. Because of that, I like the Horned Frogs to win this game comfortably and get to 12-0 ahead of a Big 12 Championship matchup against Kansas State or Texas (I’m picking K-State to make it). That contest will provide one of the biggest games in TCU school history because a win will give them a real shot at a national title.

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