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Overreaction Monday: TCU Locked Into CFP, K-State’s Rennaissance Season, Rematch Equals Repeat

Every Monday during the college football season, fans of teams across the country return to work and discuss the events of the weekend with their coworkers. Around the water cooler or coffee machine, overreactions are born as suddenly one team is now a national title contender (they’re not) and another’s season is over after a tough loss (it isn’t).

Let us sift through the rumors, false allegations, and straight-up nonsense for you this season with overreaction Monday, where we tell you whether you need to cool the jets or you legitimately have something to worry about.

 

TCU is Already Locked into the College Football Playoff, Win or Loss.

Overreaction. I know that conversations have been had on-air about TCU potentially being in the playoff field, even if it loses against Kansas State this weekend in the Big 12 Championship against Kansas State. While I think that should be the case, considering they’ve gotten to 12-0 as just two others have, I don’t trust the committee to do the right thing in that case. You can bet everything in your wallet that Georgia is in, even if it loses to LSU this weekend. If Purdue (8-4, 6-3) finds a way to beat Michigan, the Wolverines are likely still in. Now, is this fair? No, not at all. TCU is just a 2.5-point favorite in its championship game, while both Georgia (-17.5) and Michigan (-16) are both favored by three scores and yet the Horned Frogs are the ones that would be more severely punished for a loss. As infuriating as it is, TCU needs to win Saturday if it wants a fair shake.

Kansas State is Having A True Rennaissance Season in 2022.

Not an Overreaction. It has been a decade since the Kansas State Wildcats have won double-digit games in a season, but they have two more chances to do just that before the 2022 season is over. Despite losing to Tulane before Big 12 play started, the Wildcats churned out a 7-2 record in conference play and landed themselves in their first Big 12 Championship game since 2003, and will have a chance to win their first Big 12 title since 2012. Chris Klieman needed this kind of season after being up-and-down in his first three years and folks in Manhattan couldn’t be happier. In a year where the Big 12 was as tough as it may’ve ever been, the Purple Cats are one of the conference’s best two teams and is likely headed to its first New Year’s Six Bowl since the magical 2012.

 

We Will See the Same Outcome between TCU and Kansas State this Weekend.

Overreaction. Vegas isn’t overly confident in TCU winning the Big 12 Championship against Kansas State, and previous matchups in the game should tell you why. In three of the previous four Big 12 Championship games, the regular season winner lost its rematch to its opponent in the title game. In 2018 it was Oklahoma taking down Texas after losing to them in the Red River Showdown. In 2019 the Sooners took down Iowa State to win the conference after losing to the Cyclones in Ames amid a 1-2 start. Last season, the Baylor Bears exacted revenge against Oklahoma State after losing their regular season matchup in Stillwater. This game is not TCU’s to lose and Kansas State is coming in supremely confident that can leave Jerry’s World with the Big 12 Championship in tow. This game is going to be a dogfight, and there is a lot on the line for each team.

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