#17 Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Last time these two teams hooked up OU rolled to an 81-36 win in Norman. Granted, Tech is a much better team at home, 12-5 compared to 0-10, and averaging nearly 20 more points per game in Lubbock. But, the Red Raiders continue to struggle as the Big 12’s worst shooting team. Meantime, Oklahoma has won 6 of 7, and second in the Big 12 in defensive field goal percentage. It’s not going to be a 45 point drubbing, but the cover should be gold.
The Pick: Oklahoma -10
#20 Baylor vs. Kansas State
Baylor is looking to avenge a 2 point loss in Manhattan, when they blew a 12-point second half lead. The formula sets up perfectly for such an outcome. K-State has stumbled, losing 7 of 9, and the Wildcats really struggle on the road, 1-8 this season, and have dropped 13 of their last 15 road conference games. Also, K-State is one of the worst rebounding teams in the country, going up against Baylor who is second in the country with a plus-9.7 differential.
The Pick: Baylor -9
#14 Iowa State @ Texas
Iowa State is ultimately jekyll and hyde team in home versus road games. The Cyclones are allowing 65 points per game at home, compared to 78 on the road. Texas is 6-7 in conference play, and begins a stretch of 4 games against ranked opponents. The Longhorns could desperately use at least two wins in the next four to solidify their chances to reach the Big Dance. Austin is always a tough place to play, and the Cyclones have won just two wins in thirteen all-time visits. That being said, I like my chances rolling with the ‘Clones as road dogs.
The Pick: Iowa State +2.5
#23 West Virginia @ #22 Oklahoma State
We’re this late in the season and these two teams have yet to hook up this season. They’ll play today in Stillwater and then the final game of the season in Morgantown. Since joining the Big 12, the Mountaineers have lost all four meetings against the Cowboys, and WVU has dropped 3 of 4 on the road. But, the Cowboys have lost two in a row, and looks like a team hitting a late season swoon, rather than a stride. Both teams could use the win as a boost to their NCAA resume. I’ll take the close game.
The Pick: WVU +4.5
#8 Kansas vs. TCU
Kansas holds a one-game lead in the Big 12 and is coming off a tough buzzer beating loss against West Virginia. KU squeaked out a 3-point win at TCU last month. Also, the Horned Frogs have looked much better lately, winning two in a row against Oklahoma State and K-State. But, both those games were at home, and TCU goes to Allen Fieldhouse where the Jayhawks have won 135 of their last 140 games, including all 13 this season by an average of 14 points per game. It’s been a “cute” run for TCU. It ends today.
The Pick: Kansas -12