Arizona State (5-4, 3-3 Big 12) travels to Orlando to face UCF in Week 11 of the 2026 college football season on Saturday, November 14, at Acrisure Bounce House. The Sun Devils are one victory away from bowl eligibility after beating Colorado 20-10, while the Knights are coming off a dramatic 33-32 victory over Kansas.
Arizona State has won two of its last three games, with its defense showing improvement down the stretch. Meanwhile, UCF nearly squandered a 26-7 lead against Kansas before pulling out a last-second victory.
Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. CT. Below, we’ll break down the latest Arizona State vs. UCF odds, where to watch, key injuries and expected starters, along with our prediction and pick for this Big 12 matchup.
Arizona State vs. UCF Odds
- Spread: UCF -3.5
- Over/Under: 49.5
- Moneyline: UCF -146/Arizona State +122
Odds as of November 10, 2026. Lines are subject to change.
Where to Watch Arizona State vs. UCF
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Kickoff: 2:30 p.m. CT
- Location: Acrisure Bounce House, Orlando, Florida
- TV: ESPN2
Arizona State vs. UCF Biggest Question: Which Offense Gets Going?
Both of these teams have been inconsistent at offense in recent weeks. UCF pulls off an upset against BYU by scoring nearly 40 points, then scores nine vs. Baylor. Against Kansas last week, they scored 26 points in 2.5 quarters, and then went lifeless in the final quarter and a half before winning in walk-off fashion. On the other side, Arizona State is continuing to re-build its offense mid-season behind two freshmen, quarterback Jake Fette and running back Cardae Mack, but they’re having growing pains in the process as well, like last week when they scored 17 points in the first half, and three in the second half. So which offense shows more consistency on Sunday? Answer me that, and I’ll tell you who wins.
Arizona State vs. UCF Prediction and Pick
Prediction: Arizona State 23, UCF 20
Pick against the spread: Arizona State +3.5
UCF is a much better team at home, but I can’t trust this team right now to cover the spread. So I’m picking Arizona State to cover, and I’ll pick them to win as well. Arizona State feels like the team trending in the better direction the last two weeks after a win vs. Colorado, and playing BYU close on the road as well. Their defensive front is starting to pick back up as well, with four sacks and eight tackles for loss last week, and now they face a UCF front that has struggled to protect the quarterback at times, ranking 12th in the league in sacks allowed in the Big 12 Conference.
On the flip side, Arizona State hasn’t done a great job in protecting the quarterback, whoever it is, but they rank last in the Big 12 in sacks allowed in the league (27 in nine games). However, UCF has not been very good at getting to the quarterback, ranking 14th in the league in sacks this season.
Arizona State and UCF are almost identical in yards per play. Arizona State ranks 101st in offensive yards per play, 68th in defensive yards per play, and 89th in net yards per play. UCF ranks 113th in offensive yards per play, 60th in defensive yards per play and 91st in net yards per play.
They’re nearly identical. So with that, I’ll go with the team that has been a bit more consistent as of late and is healthier going into this game as well.
Arizona State vs. UCF FAQ
What time is Arizona State vs. UCF?
Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. CT on Saturday, November 14.
Where is Arizona State vs. UCF being played?
The game will be played at Acrisure Bounce House in Orlando, Florida.
Who is favored in Arizona State vs. UCF?
UCF is favored in this game by 3.5 points at home against Arizona State.
