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Baylor vs. BYU Prediction, Pick and Odds for Week 11

BYU vs. Baylor Prediction and Preview

Baylor (6-3, 4-2 Big 12) travels to Provo to face No. 12 BYU (7-2, 4-2 Big 12) on Saturday, November 14, in Week 11 of the 2026 college football season at LaVell Edwards Stadium. The Cougars enter as 7.5-point favorites in a crucial matchup between two teams trying to stay alive in the Big 12 Championship race.

Baylor has won two straight games under interim head coach Joe Klanderman, including a 42-31 victory over Iowa State last weekend. Meanwhile, BYU is looking to bounce back from a 28-20 loss to rival Utah in the Holy War. With both teams tied in the conference standings, Saturday’s winner will take an important step toward remaining in contention for a trip to Arlington.

Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. CT on FOX. Below, we’ll break down the latest Baylor vs. BYU odds, where to watch, key injuries and expected starters, along with our prediction and pick for this Big 12 showdown.

Baylor vs. BYU Odds

  • Spread: BYU -7.5
  • Over/Under: 49.5 points
  • Moneyline: BYU -275 | Baylor +230

Odds checked November 10, 2026. Lines vary by sportsbook and are subject to change.

Where to Watch Baylor vs. BYU

  • Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
  • Kickoff: 2:30 p.m. CT / 1:30 p.m. MT
  • Location: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah
  • TV: FOX
  • Streaming: FOX Sports app, with an eligible TV subscription

Baylor vs. BYU Injuries and Expected Starters

Baylor is expected to start DJ Lagway at quarterback after he accounted for three touchdowns and 119 rushing yards against Iowa State.

BYU is expected to start Bear Bachmeier, who threw for 272 yards and a touchdown against Utah but also had four interceptions.

The status and health of BYU running back LJ Martin will be worth monitoring after he returned against Utah.

Baylor vs. BYU Biggest Question: Baylor’s Passing Game vs. BYU?

Can Baylor’s suddenly explosive offense continue its turnaround against a BYU defense that has been one of the better units in the Big 12? The Bears have scored 83 points in their last two games, with Lagway becoming an increasingly dangerous threat on the ground, as well.

However, when Baylor is at its best, the passing game is humming with Lagway and Gavin Freeman leading the way. Baylor ranks third in the Big 12 in passing yards per game, and they’re going up against BYU’s defense that ranks No. 1 in the Big 12. The winner of this match up will be the team that gets the win this weekend in Provo.

Baylor vs. BYU Prediction and Pick

Prediction: BYU 27, Baylor 24

Pick against the spread: Baylor +7.5

Baylor has played its best football since firing Dave Aranda. They dominated UCF and Iowa State in impressive fashion. Now, the level of competition steps up this week, but BYU is in a tough spot as they desperately need running back LJ Martin to be 100%, and while he returned last week, he clearly isn’t back to full strength. Baylor is a dangerous team in this spot for BYU.

Against the spread, Baylor is 7-2 this season, while BYU is 6-3. And the Cougars haven’t covered a spread in their last three games, with their last cover coming in their upset against Notre Dame. Since then, they’re 0-3, while Baylor is 2-0 the last two weeks since firing Aranda.

Another thing to keep an eye on in this game with a spread this big: Baylor is No. 16 in the country in turnover margin, while BYU is 116th. One big turnover for Baylor in a game where BYU’s offense is not well-positioned to blow teams out could be the thing that turns this game into an upset, or at least results in the Bears being able to cover the spread. Looking at the recent trends of these two teams, I know it’s a tough spot on the road, but I’m going to roll with the Bears in this spot.

Baylor vs. BYU FAQ

What time is Baylor vs. BYU?

Baylor and BYU kick off Saturday, November 14, at 2:30 p.m. CT (1:30 p.m. MT).

What channel is Baylor vs. BYU on?

The game will be televised nationally on FOX.

Who is favored in Baylor vs. BYU?

BYU is favored by 7.5 points in the November 10 betting line.

Where is Baylor vs. BYU being played?

The game will take place at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.

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